Harris Takes a Poll Lead—Meanwhile, Trump Wins on Every Major Issue

Kilmer Media / shutterstock.com
Kilmer Media / shutterstock.com

Oh look, Kamala Harris has managed to scrape together a tiny lead over former President Donald Trump—because that’s what America needs, right? A recent poll shows Harris with a slender 49% to 45% advantage over Trump in a direct face-off. But wait, when you add independent candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris’ lead tightens to 47% to 44%. Back in July, the numbers were different: Trump was at 43%, President Biden at 42%, and Kennedy at 9%.

Despite this narrow edge, Trump still outshines Harris on several key issues. Trump leads on the economy, inflation, immigration, crime and safety, and even the Israel-Hamas conflict. Harris has some wins on issues like democracy protection, health care, and abortion, but the majority of voters care most about the economy, inflation, and immigration.

Harris is pitching proposals like a national ban on “price-gouging,” a $25,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers, and an expanded $6,000 child tax credit. Trump and economists have been quick to criticize her “price-gouging” plan, likening it to price controls instead of a real fix.

When it comes to running mates, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz (D) is faring better in favorability ratings than Senator JD Vance (R-Ohio). Walz enjoys 52% approval, while Vance gets 45%. Despite the mixed reviews, Harris’ satisfaction ratings have jumped from 20% when Biden was the nominee to 60% now that she’s leading the charge.

Harris also leads Trump by 25 percentage points among voters under 40 and has improved her support among Black voters, now at 83%, up from Biden’s 79%.

RealClearPolitics shows Harris with a slight 1.2-point lead over Trump in a two-way race and a 1.5-point lead in a five-way race. With Trump having the edge in Electoral College projections, the competition remains fierce.

As Harris prepares for the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, where she’ll be officially nominated, Democrats are hoping for a boost. With just under 80 days to go, the race is as tight as ever.